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Experts predict that this year's coal production will increase by 5% to 3.7 billion tons

experts predict that this year's coal production will increase by 5% to 3.7 billion tons

China Construction machinery information

since last year, the coal industry has entered the stage of structural capacity reduction, orderly developed high-quality energy according to the principle of reduction and replacement, forced the inefficient and low-quality capacity to accelerate the exit, and further increased the proportion of advanced capacity. It is worth noting that Shanxi, Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang and other regions are rich in coal resources and have become the main distribution areas of new coal production capacity

in 2018, China's coal industry entered the stage of structural capacity reduction, and the launch of high-quality capacity accelerated. The coal industry actively adjusts its structure and promotes the transformation of old and new kinetic energy. According to the relevant analysis of China Coal Industry Association, it is expected that the domestic coal production capacity will be released faster this year, and the supply capacity of the coal industry will be further enhanced

further optimize the capacity structure

at present, the total capacity removal task of the coal industry has been basically completed. According to Yimei Research Institute, since China's coal industry started to remove capacity, a total of 620 million tons of capacity have been removed in the first three years. At present, the removal of capacity has entered the final stage. Last year, the layout of China's coal development was further optimized. The new coal production capacity was concentrated in the "three West" region, and the proportion of production capacity in Xinjiang also increased significantly

recently, the China Coal Industry Association released data showing that in 2018, the raw coal output of Shanxi, Shaanxi and Inner Mongolia accounted for 74.3% of the country, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year. By the end of June 2018, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi were the only three regions with new coal production capacity exceeding 100 million tons, accounting for 19.7%, 31% and 20.6% respectively, accounting for 71.2% in total. The production capacity of Xinjiang was 141.16 million tons, accounting for 4%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points year-on-year at the end of 2017

on March 26, the National Energy Administration issued an announcement No. 2 to publicize the relevant data of China's coal mine production capacity. As of the end of December 2018, 3373 coal mines with complete safety production licenses and other licenses had a production capacity of 3.53 billion tons/year; 1010 coal mines (including 64 synchronous reconstruction and reconstruction projects of production coal mines) have been approved (approved) and started construction, with a production capacity of 1.03 billion tons/year, of which 203 coal mines have been completed and put into joint trial operation, with a production capacity of 370 million tons/year. Insiders pointed out that the new production capacity is mainly concentrated in Shanxi Province. According to statistics, Shanxi Province has added a total of 18.02 million tons of production capacity per year. After eliminating backward production capacity, through capacity replacement, coal production and supply can meet market demand

in addition, with the standardization of product testing, the new production capacity and replacement scale increase, the proportion of large-scale high-quality coal mines increases, and the proportion of small and medium-sized coal mines decreases. According to the China Coal Industry Association, the number of coal mines nationwide decreased significantly last year, and large modern coal mines became the main body of coal production. At the end of 2018, the number of coal mines nationwide decreased to about 5800, and the average production capacity increased to about 920000 tons/year. The raw coal output of the top eight large enterprises was 1.49 billion tons, accounting for 40.5% of the country, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year

"at the end of 2018, the domestic production capacity has increased, and several coal mines have been approved to enter the joint test run. It is expected that this year, the domestic new production capacity will enter the centralized production period." Zhang Feilong, director of Yimei Research Institute, analyzed that last year, the extension meter of domestic strain gauge accelerated the process of capacity replacement due to its simple principle and convenient installation, but the new capacity was put in less than expected, mainly because, on the one hand, the investment in fixed assets of coal mines tends to be environmental protection construction due to environmental protection and safety inspection; On the other hand, although the asset liability ratio of the coal industry has decreased, it is not obvious, and the new production capacity is not satisfactory

new production capacity and output are released steadily.

this year, the focus of coal production continues to concentrate on regions with good resource endowment and strong competitiveness, such as Shanxi, Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang. Recently, the National Energy Administration issued a notice to newly approve five coal mine projects with a total capacity of 15.3 million tons/year. Among them, the Great Wall No. 5 coal mine project in shanghaimiao mining area, Inner Mongolia (construction scale of 1.8 million tons/year), the Zhengzhuang coal mine and coal preparation plant project in Jincheng mining area, Shanxi (construction scale of 4 million tons/year), the reconstruction and expansion project of wenjiazhuang coal mine in Yangquan mining area, Shanxi (production capacity from 900000 tons/year to 5 million tons/year), the Hongshan coal mine project in Xinjiang and shitoluogai mining area (construction scale of 3 million tons/year), Great Wall No. 6 coal mine project in shanghaimiao mining area, Inner Mongolia (construction scale: 1.5 million tons/year)

"this year, the new capacity has entered the accelerated release period, and the output is gradually released. It is expected that the annual output will increase by 5% to 3.7 billion tons." Zhang Feilong said that looking forward to 2019, the supply side structural reform of the coal industry will shift from total capacity reduction to structural capacity reduction (capacity reduction will be carried out simultaneously with new capacity and investment). The "three de" tasks of "de smoothing functions and results will also greatly reduce capacity, de stocking and de leveraging" have been overfulfilled. The focus of the supply side structural reform will turn to make up for weaknesses, and with the elimination of "one size fits all" in environmental protection and production restriction, supply will shrink With the weakening of the logical chain of raising prices to remove inventory and repairing enterprise profits, the overall supply of the industry will increase, while the release of downstream demand is not synchronized, and the pattern of supply exceeding demand may be formed again

recently, the China Coal Industry Association issued a report that with the continuous release of new coal production increases, coal production will further increase. According to the survey, this year, enterprises will increase coal production by about 100 million tons. "From 2019 to 2020, coal production is expected to maintain a growth trend." Zhang's "10000 leakage" inspection Feilong said that in addition to the fact that the new coal production capacity has entered the accelerated release period this year, the production of large modern mines and the replacement of advanced production capacity have led to the improvement of the overall capacity utilization

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